Malaysia: The government is expected
to revisit its 2017 gross domestic product growth projection of four to five
per cent range in Budget 2018 as the economy has grown beyond expectation in
the first and second quarters, AmResearch said.
The GDp grew 5.6 per cent and 5.8 per
cent in the first and second quarters respectively, bringing the first-half
average to 5.7 per cent.
AmResearch said the robust growth was
supported by strong exports and continued to be anchored by domestic demand.
At the same time, foreign direct
investments rose to RM17 billion in the first quarter and RM8.2 billion in the
seocnd quarter mainly in the services, mining and manufacturing sectors.
"We project the full-year 2017 GDP to
hover around 5.7 per cent – 5.9 per cent, hence expecting an upwards revision
to around 5.5– 6.0 per cent in Budget 2018," the firm said in a report today.
Given the stabilising commodity
prices, better tax collection, improving global growth in 2017 and paired with
the ongoing fiscal consolidation, the 3.0 per cent budget deficit target for
2017 is likely to be attained, it added.
AmResearch believes the fiscal
deficit for 2018 should improve marginally to 2.9 per cent to GDP on
expectation of higher revenue from stronger crude oil prices and tax collection
with prudent spending.
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